Issue No 12, Oct 07-13, 2002 | ISSN:1684-2075 | satribune.com


Opinion

 

Why the Indian Hawks are Sadly Frustrated


Lamenting Vajpayee's Lingering
Patience

Brahma Chellaney

What are the limits, if any, to India’s patience against externally aided terrorism? This is an important question to ask because no one knows to what extent India can be terrorized, assaulted and bled before it concludes enough is enough.

India’s experiences suggest that the more terrorism it has got, the greater has become its capacity to absorb terrorist strikes without losing its self-control.

India’s resilience comes from negative factors. Despite the legacy of Mahatma Gandhi, violence is endemic in Indian society. Riots, stampedes and street disturbances are commonplace. In the same week that terrorists killed 37 people at the Akshardham temple complex, 16 rallyists died in a stampede at the Lucknow railway station. In fact, the temple slayings received roughly the same amount of front-page coverage in newspapers as a Bollywood actor running his automobile over sleeping men.

Terrorist attacks increasingly are treated like common instances of violence. The recurrent terrorist killings in Jammu and Kashmir, for example, are covered like a body-count story just like bus accidents -- five killed day before yesterday, six yesterday, and three jawans today.

A second factor is that the value of human life in India is dirt cheap. Even when people die by the scores in a railway accident, building blaze or mob violence, it does not bring about better railway or fire safety measures or better policing because loss of human life is no ground to enforce accountability. As the Bhopal gas catastrophe demonstrated, even the loss of thousands of lives brings no accountability. Terrorist slayings thus do not trigger the kind of public outrage and response witnessed in some other societies.

Yet another factor is the chaotic nature of Indian democracy. Those who hold the reigns of power spend much of their time not in policy-making but in fire-fighting. The tragedy of one day gets overtaken by another calamity of next day. Death and destruction, even by callous, calculated design, does not engender bipartisanship but rather whets cut-throat electoral politics. The big question for debate after each major terrorist strike is not how India should respond but whether the attack would help the ruling coalition or the opposition.

As a long-suffering nation, India, fittingly, has a prime minister who personifies patience. Atal Bihari Vajpayee lives up to the Biblical adage, “Let every man be swift to hear, slow to speak, slow to wrath,” although his critics would contend that he is also slow to hear. Since he pledged “zero tolerance” against terrorism in his 1999 Independence Day speech, he has had to silently practise “maximal tolerance” because terrorism has qualitatively escalated with the advent of fidayeen attacks under his prime ministership. But he remains imperturbable. Equally unflappable by terrorist strikes (other than the one that killed her husband) is the leader of the opposition, who has yet to clearly express her views on any policy.

The increasingly daring terrorist strikes, however, have worn even Vajpayee’s patience threadbare. This is apparent from the manner he stirred up to make some public comments in recent days. Those comments suggest he is drawing the right conclusions even if he still wallows in some naiveté.

Having failed to employ a coherent and determined anti-terrorist strategy, Vajpayee had pinned his hopes on America reining in Pakistan’s export of terror to India. Now Vajpayee acknowledges that US pressure on Pakistan seemingly has not worked. So he has publicly concluded that India must “combat terrorism on its own”. This conclusion must be appreciated, although it has taken him four-and-a-half years in power to reach a simple assessment with which he should have begun his term in office.

The good sense now on display risks being undermined by other statements that are remote from reality. Twice in recent days Vajpayee has said that terrorism is on its last legs. The terrorists’ masters across the border and political opponents at home might claim that it is Vajpayee who appears on his last legs. Not only is terrorist violence growing in sophistication, but also it appears likely to continue to torment India in the foreseeable future. State-sponsored terrorism is a different kind of war, for which India has yet to evolve new tactics and tools despite being bled for two decades.

So is India’s patience inexhaustible, even if the patience outwardly has worn thin? The next-door despot, Pervez Musharraf, and his fellow generals think so, otherwise they would not renew their silent war of ?a thousand cuts? against India after temporary cessations in January-February and June this year. They believe they can continue to push India with minimal or manageable risks.

Absent from official Indian statements this year has been a ‘p’ word ‘patience’ even as the rhetoric on the other ‘p’ word ‘Pakistan’ has gone up to the extent that India finds itself being more tightly paired with Pakistan. Terrorist attacks on Indian targets are portrayed by the international media not in the context of terrorism but in the India-Pakistan and Hindu-Muslim framework. But there is a good reason why Indian officials no longer talk about the limits of India’s patience.

Exactly a year ago, Vajpayee wrote to American President George W. Bush after the terrorist assault on the J&K legislature to say India’s patience was running out. Undaunted, the masters got their proxies to storm the Indian Parliament. Vajpayee then declared that India had reached the upper limit of its patience. Having officially expended its patience last December, India can no longer utter that ‘p’ word. But Musharraf is convinced that India has not yet used up all its patience.

Bolstering Musharraf’s policy to continue infiltrating terrorists into India is the fact that not once has New Delhi retaliated against Pakistan, despite incontrovertible evidence over the years about the Pakistani connection to the rise of Sikh terrorism, the Kashmir insurrection, the Bombay bombings, the Kandahar hijacking, the Kaluchak and Badami Bagh raids, the Chittisinghpora, Amarnath and Raghunath temple massacres, etc. Imagine the likely response of the much-smaller Pakistan had it been continuously bled by India.

What can provoke India to bite the bullet and retaliate? This is an odd question to pose in the current international discourse, focused on Bush’s controversial new pre-emption doctrine that reserves for America the right to attack potential enemies before they strike or acquire the capability to strike. While retaliation is recognised by international law as part of the sovereign right of self-defence, pre-emption seeks to turn international law on its head. The irony is that Washington, while loudly asserting the right of pre-emption for itself, has sought to deny India even the right of retaliation.

The cheapness of human life may mean that India can continue to put up with terrorism, as long as the victims are innocent civilians or security personnel doing their job. Even the recent slayings of the law minister and some school children in J&K have been quickly forgotten. Although prosperity and security constitute a personal rather than national agenda in India, can those who govern the nation continue to indefinitely disregard their duty to protect citizens?

Patience and tact often achieve more in international relations than the use of force, but when patience is openly mocked at as cowardice, the ridiculers can be in for a surprise. Having left India with few options, the merchants of terror would be well advised to heed the famous John Dryden saying: “Beware of the fury of the patient man.” – Courtesy: Hindustan Times

Email story  Email Story | Discuss story Discuss Story

Back to top

 

 

Site Credits: DA, Inc.

Copyright © 2002 South Asia Tribune Publications, L.L.C. All rights reserved.