Issue No 92, May 16-22, 2004 | ISSN:1684-2057 | satribune.com

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Vajpayee, caught in a lonely place

When All Pundits Failed, How Young Arun Got It Right

Special SAT Report

WASHINGTON: Every serious media outlet and newspaper is wondering why and how well respected and “all informed” political Indian pundits got it wrong this time in predicting a Vajpayee defeat.

Sonia Gandhi's Congress stunned everybody with her party's shocking success, leaving these pundits dumb and embarrassed.

Well one young reporter of this web newspaper got it right, repeatedly.

Our own Arun Rajnath, a new comer to political punditry, has been continuously saying for the past few weeks, after having seen the situation on the ground that Vajpayee and BJP were in serious trouble.

At least he is not an arm chair analyst. He had his feet on the ground. And he reported what he saw and heard.

Here are some excerpts of what Arun reported:

SA Tribune, May 2-8, 2004: Seriously Troubled Vajpayee Trying to Buy the Media

“In the exit-polls also the top editors and journalists are showing their loyalty to Mr. Vajpayee and his cronies. Barring few, almost all the newspapers and channels are still in the impression that Vajpayee led NDA is going to form the government. Even one of the most renowned editors such as Vinod Mehta, Editor ‘Outlook’, who happened to be a harsh critic of Mr. Vajpayee, also says that the NDA would turn the table in its favor after the last two phases of polling on May 5 and 10.

"Very true, the last two phases of the polling shall make the writing on the wall clearer.”

SA Tribune, May 9-15, 2004: Vajpayee Sulking But Buddha May Soon Be Smiling

“Secular leader Mulayam Singh Yadav has been given the responsibility to probe into the possibility of the Third Front which could take over if Vajpayee-led National Democratic Front fails to muster the magic figure of 272 out of 543 to form the government.

“The headquarters of the Communist Party of India (Marxist) – CPI(M) has suddenly become the center of political activities and focus of all eyes. The Gole Market area of the capital, where the headquarters of the CPI(M) is located, is witnessing cavalcades of cars blowing sirens and gun-brandishing police and security men. Rounds and rounds of political meetings are going on which are being attended by two communist chief ministers and other party big-shots, besides exponents of the Third Front.

The two former Indian prime ministers, Vishwanath Pratap Singh and Chandrashekhar have reportedly urged Harkishen Singh Surjeet, General Secretary of the CPI(M) to bring the Congress party and Mulayam Singh together. At present there seems to be a clear political dichotomy.

It must be remembered that in 1996, an historical moment came about when Jyoti Basu’s name was prompted for the post of the prime minister, and each and every opposition leader of India was ready to support him, but ER Nayanar and Prakash Karat vehemently opposed the idea. Otherwise Jyoti Basu would have become the first communist prime minister of India.

Now, once again, history could be created. And this time the CPI(M) is seriously considering Buddhadev Bhattacharya’s name as a consensus leader of the opposition. Buddhadev Bhattacharya, who is fondly known as Buddha, is chief minister of West Bengal. He could be replaced either by Biplab Das Gupta or Somnath Chatterjee, both members of the CPI(M)’s Central Committee and Upper House of the Parliament.

Insiders told the South Asia Tribune though Jyoti Basu has publicly supported Sonia Gandhi for the top post, he would abide by party’s decision and Surjeet has personally taken Mulayam Singh Yadav into confidence, but Buddha’s name will not be disclosed till final tally comes. Secondly, his name will be prompted only when there is no consensus on other names and opposition unity is in jeopardy.

SA Tribune, May 9-15, 2004: Vajpayee's Failed Politics to Win Over Indian Muslims

“Thus, Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee enjoys support of a handful of Deobandi and Barielvi Muslims through these Mullas, but the larger community is still against him.

“On the other hand the Ahle Hadis faction is opposing the BJP. Mr. Vajpayee tried to get himself invited to a conference of Ahle Hadis recently held at Pakud in Jharkhand, but they rejected his overtures.

“Shia Muslims are also not supporting Mr. Vajpayee because he failed to keep his promise to hand over Karbala at Delhi.

SA Tribune, April 25-May 1, 04: Muslims Will Vote As They Have Been Historically

“NEW DELHI: When all efforts for electoral unity between the opposition parties against the BJP failed, the Indian Muslims ultimately decided to resort to ‘technical voting’, which is what they have been doing for ages.

“Various Muslim scholars and opinion-makers of the country have appealed to the Muslim community to vote in favor of the Congress candidates. If not possible to do so, then vote for any non-BJP candidate who is in the position to defeat the BJP candidate.

Secretary of the Congress Party Minority Cell, Meem Afzal told the South Asia Tribune, Muslims have decided to vote in favor of the Congress party because they know that only this party can establish peace and communal harmony in the country. It is true that Muslims of the country did feel dejected when efforts for opposition unity failed. In fact, they do not want their vote to go waste. They wish to defeat candidates of the BJP.

SA Tribune, March 21-27, 2004: India is 'Shining' in Millions for Vajpayee's Key Aide

“NEW DELHI: A variety of accusations against Atal Bihari Vajpayee’s BJP is turning into a deluge as his key aide and party’s high profile General Secretary, Pramod Mahajan’s son, Rahul Mahajan, is blamed for misappropriation of funds of the election campaign.

“In fact, it is turning out to be an intra-family fight between Mahajan’s son and son-in-law Anand Rao. Some are already calling it loot in the name of ‘India Shining’.

“Going into an early election, the BJP has allocated more than Rs 50 million for advertisement only, and the main accusation is that the lion’s share has been taken by Pramod Mahajan himself.”

Arun Rajnath got it right better than many others and at such an early stage in his career of political reporting. He will go far.

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